There is a danger in believing that China is a rational actor that wouldn’t risk an invasion that would be met with force, as President Joe Biden has said publicly several times.

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 Chinese agent bribed Taiwan colonel to surrender if war began, prosecutors claim

Chinese agent bribed Taiwan colonel to surrender if war began, prosecutors claim

Taiwan's Defense Ministry said that the officer was suspected of violating national security and anti-corruption laws and that it would continue to cooperate with the investigation. "This case highlights that the Chinese communists have become a serious threat against us when it comes to infiltrating, recruitment, collection of intelligence and theft of secrets," the ministry said. The ministry will continue to strengthen counter-intelligence education for officers and soldiers and deepen security investigations, it added.

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 Albanese says Australia is unlikely to support Taiwan’s push to join Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership

Albanese says Australia is unlikely to support Taiwan’s push to join Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership

Taiwan seeking clarity Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said Taipei was currently trying to contact Australian representatives to clarify the government's position. "The CPTPP is open to all economies that meet its high standards", said spokeswoman Joanne Ou. Ms Ou said she was not aware that any other member state had questioned Taiwan's application. Benjamin Herscovitch from the Australian National University said that while all CPTPP members to date have been internationally recognised sovereign states, there was "no reason why Taiwan couldn't become a CPTPP member." "The prime minister most likely just misspoke. As he said himself, the Australian position hasn't changed" he said.

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 This Is How Taiwan’s Military Would Go To War With China

This Is How Taiwan’s Military Would Go To War With China

Capturing Taiwan by force will no doubt be a high-risk gambit and could prove to be politically destabilizing if war plans were to go awry. However, Beijing’s use of its soft power — through economic and cultural leverage — to draw the island closer has not yielded any results. Hence, it has turned to the use of hard power, in the form of the PLA, to apply coercion and intimidation. Starting from ‘island encirclement’ drills by H-6 bombers from 2016 when independence-leaning President Tsai Ing-wen took office, China’s gray-zone assault on the island has been progressively stepped up to frequent incursions into its southwestern corner of the Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) since 2020.

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 China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best

China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best

The logic of China’s salami-slicing tactics, however, implies that pressure accumulation is unavoidable. Simply maintaining the status quo is insufficient. As we have already established, the scope and difficulty of a successful escalation campaign in the conventional arena make this an unpalatable option. This begs the question: what other (escalatory) choices are available? A gradually tightening chokehold of the Taiwanese islands, including the main island, would fit seamlessly into China’s decades-long grey zone tactics applied in the Taiwan Strait conflict. As a result, it may be the next logical move by the Chinese government to limit international collaboration, recognition, and financial support for Taiwan while also exerting additional political and economic pressure on the island nation.

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